This means that there are 5148 – 40 = 5108 flushes that are not of a higher rank. How should you play your hand after flopping a royal flush draw? Check out this TOP 5 to see what. If you're drawing to an open ended straight, there are exactly 8 outs. With hands that have four different possibilities to flop a straight (connectors JT through 54), you have a 1. When a player has four cards in his hand of the same suit and is hoping to draw a fifth to make a flush. When most of your draws miss, you should give up with some of your bluffs. It leaves a ton of money and value on the table. You consider all the other draws to be weak draws. on the flop you have 3 outs twice and 1 out for quads for a total of 7 outs on the flop, which should be roughly 28% equity. To get a rough estimate, take the number of safe outs, x4 on the flop and x2 on the turn for the percentage equity. , or one in three. Someone bets the pot in this situation which is OK nothing to fear / panic about. Attempt to draw back after flush. It doesn’t mean “a. One of the most common amatuer poker mistakes is playing too many hands. This basically means that villain has the flush on the flop 5. 8-to-1 odds against. And while the turn hitting the flush or the straight will kill the action, if the villain has an overpair here you've got a decent chance of getting a call. I just checked a sample hand on a poker equity calculator and it 65% for the flush and 35% for the draw to FH and quads. 5 Tips for Playing Backdoor Flush & Straight Draws 1. For most players this is a routine, almost automatic play. R. Having a blocker decreases the likelihood of our opponent having a flush, and gives us equity to draw to it ourselves. The bottom line is a house edge of 2. If he raises the nut flush draw has some really good equity, actually a favorite if you use a 10% 3bet range, which I know is overall, but even at 7. 0%) Flush on draw after missing turn 4. For example, you hold 5 ♠ 6 ♠ on a K ♠ 7 ♥ 2 ♦ board. You can use this formula for draws, but be aware that when there is money left to play it may not apply. Other times, you set loses to a rivered flush, your Aces are cracked, and your flopped 2 pair loses to. You will play as the aggressor in the first six hands, then as the defender in the final four hands. The chances of getting a flush withFlush Draw. But top set is a very marginal hand, if there is a 1-liner to a flush, and it can easily be folded on the river and also on the turn, if the price to continue is to poor. Even though flush draws are some of the strongest draws in the flop, these are the ones that are misplayed the most due to poor strategy. If you don't have a flush card and there is a 3 flush on the board. Assuming you mean a flush draw on the flop, an easy way to approximate odds at the table is to count their outs (9 flush outs). Was reasonably sure I was up against two pair or set at worst. Make sure the strength and dose are correct. Things get a little more complicated, but it can be worth chasing down a flush. Please click the link for the specifics. 5 - 2: 0-Gap backdoor straight draw: 1 - 1. He wins 1 in 3 runs here. The equity difference between a standard gutshot straight draw and one that has a backdoor flush draw to go with it is about 4%. 27-to-1 odds against). First, separate your flush draws into two basic categories. However, seeing as we are. If it "hits," you chances go up to 100%. These draws are so robust they should be played fast and hard on almost all flops. C-bets are usually profitable, especially if you have a lot of hand equity, which is certainly the case when you flop a flush draw. 94% for suited connectors and 10. It is not the same as call math. To do this you need to “pair the board” with another jack or two to make a full house, or. Get my free poker cheat sheet. For example, Your Hand: 5♦ 6♦ Flop: 7♦ 8♣ 2♦ Nfd=nut flush draw. However, if you have a flush draw on the turn, you only have one card to improve, so you’ll only make your flush around 18% of the time. Poker News. Try playing flush and straight draws for an alternative explanation of using pot odds in poker. If you face a bet, raise, and get re-raised on a dry flop like 5 9 K with no flush draw, your set of 5s will often be behind and in a world of hurt. Learn how to play flush draws like a pro, avoid playing suited junk, and consider the pot odds and your. The rank of a Flush is determined by the highest card in the hand, with an Ace-high Flush the strongest. Ranges can interact with the. How to Play a Flopped Flush Draw. Download the GetMega app to play poker and learn new tricks regularly. So the ratio is 4 to 1. Breaking down the odds further, this equates to 1/509, so one in every 509 hands will result in a flush. My odds to make the flush on the river are 1. The logic seemed sound — you either take the pot right there or build the pot with a hand that might become a monster on the turn/river. Keep in mind that in. 0. If they both call you, great! You’ll be getting even better pot odds. Your weaker draws are everything else. And some hands can. Sorry about the drawing quality. The pot is 100 after villain bets 40 so we got 2. Preflop the play is standard. The odds significantly change out of your favor at this point and you will miss your flush draw around two-thirds of the time, making a flush draw the underdog. Your chances of eventually making the flush go down with each new card that does not "hit" the flush. Depending on the situation, any hand (even non-made hands) can fit this criterion. There will be 47 cards left in the deck in total, of which 9 of these will make our hand, whilst the other 38 will not. The main reasons for this are: A ♦ 3 ♦ will rarely reach showdown and win; A ♦ 3 ♦ has much more equity than T ♦ 3 ♦ when your check-raise gets called; T ♦ 3 ♦ has reverse implied odds on the turn. So, should you bluff here? Looking at it from the blockers perspective, you hold the key card (Q ♠) that would potentially be in. 4%) Average winning odds for one hand versus another most often comes up in tournament play All-in One-on-One in Texas Hold’em 1) Top pair vs Flush Draw or Straight Draw. 7% of. Going from turn to river a flush draw will hit slightly more often at 19. 35. In this hand from the 2019 World Series of Poker Main Event, I face a donk lead on the flop and have a pretty strong draw. I pot it, he calls. There are many starting hands in Omaha (16. In some sense every poker decision we make is based on EV. If you’ve flopped a flush draw, the first thing you should do is determine the strength of your flush. . Generally, you should. Of course, you can also have a straight draw with a single hole card. If you're looking at a bet that aprox matches the pot, you're looking at being about equal. In this scenario, you may often want to turn your hand into a bluff. If you have an unpaired. Backdoor flush draw: 1. Chips commited: Preflop-800/3000, Postflop-600/2200, Total-1400/3000 (46. The only hands that are going to be comfortable calling your all-in are a completed straight or combo draw. However a flush draw vs a set only has 25% equity due to the redraw the set has to full house, I know this using pokerstove. 1. Here are some examples: A ♦ K ♦ on Q ♦ J ♦ 3♠. Multiplied by the four suits, there are 5,108 total ways to make a flush if you randomly draw five cards from the deck. Yes, it does go throughout the body, but in that vein it’s at its highest concentration. Now that we’ve defined our strongest draws, start raising. The Pot: 6,000 The Board: A ♥-J ♥-10 ♦ Effective Stack: 42 Big Blinds Effective. Suppose you raise from the Button with Q♠ 7♠ and the Big Blind calls. In the era before , the consensus in the poker community was that if you have a flush draw, then you should basically always bet on the flop. A gutshot straight draw, which has 4 potential outs to a straight. 07% chance of winning the hand overall, and a 20% chance of completing their flush on the turn. In this case, you should be more inclined to check-raise the higher flush draw (A ♦ 3 ♦) than the lower flush draw (T ♦ 3 ♦). There is one thing I still dont really understand about odds. To make a backdoor-flush draw, you first need to hit your suit on the turn, which is 10/47, and then hit it again on the river, which is 9/46. Button had A ♥, 8 ♣ (one pair, Aces). Sometimes it’s to semi-bluff players off slightly better hands that can’t get to showdown, or to. Because we love to flush over flush, or flush draw over flush draw, our opponents when we’re raising on the flop. However a flush draw vs a set only has 25% equity due to the redraw the set has to full house, I know this using pokerstove. Hero cbets, villain calls. on the flop you have 3 outs twice and 1 out for quads for a total of 7 outs on the flop, which should be roughly 28% equity. Tilly called with top pair, but when Perkins raised it up to $50,000 with a straight flush draw, Sippl folded his gut-shot straight draw. 86 to 1. With a suited hand, the chance of flopping a flush is a mere 1%. If possible, withdraw at least 3 ml of blood to waste. For more explanation and answers to other related. Besides a relatively low chance of turning a Broadway, here are the other plays that make a Broadway draw difficult: An opponent with a flush draw has a much higher chance of completing his hand than a Broadway. If he overbet 30 to 45 bbs then it would be a fold. #2. Flush Draw. A flush draw is when you are one card away from holding a flush, the fifth highest-ranking hand in poker. The five cards must all be from one of the four suits (spades, hearts, diamonds, or clubs) in a regular deck of playing cards. This is about 1 time out of 3. 9. A flush in poker is a hand that consists of five cards of the same suit, regardless of their numerical order. Open-Ended Straight Draw on the Flop. 1. Redraw the current figure. Más información en el diccionario inglés-español. Let us calculate the card odds of the two popular draws – Flush Draw and Inside-Straight Draw. With a. Straight Flush draw (type 3) = Straight flush draw where high cards minus gaps = -1 & all ace-low draws. One of the four remaining Queens will give Player 1 a “broadway,” Ace-high Straight of A-K-Q-J-T while one of the four remaining Eights will give Player 1 a Jack-high Straight of J-T-9-8-7. Flush sends those commands to the GPU for processing. I think that donking is a really good line. 1% of the time or one in 5. If you have the ace of a suit with the flush draw, that's a stronger draw than when your highest card is a 6, because the 6-high flush can still be beaten if you make the flush, whereas the ace-high flush could be unbeatable. 1-1: 16. There will be two primary types of Straight Flush draw we’ll flop. Watch SplitSuit's video on Flushes and Flush Draws for 8 hand histories involving strategy on playing flushes in Texas Hold'em. With odds of 1:5 and a 20% chance of hitting the flush on the river it makes sense to call. 5% of the time and 2nd nut flush draw 8. Going by the rule of 3 and 6 your chances of hitting one of those are roughly 15%. Pair + flush draw? Any logical answer would be much appreciated. 5 - 1: 2-Gap backdoor straight draw: 0 - 0. Now that we’ve defined our strongest draws, start raising. When you hit a smallflush on the flop, just go for it and try to get all your money in the pot as quickly as possible. Since he bet 15 into 10 he gave you correct odds to call (25 bbs in the pot x 4) with his 100 bb stack you could make the call with +EV. A flush draw, a straight draw, you name it, they’re going to get sticky a lot. 5:1 odds to call. Get my free poker cheat sheet. Even if HJ somehow barreled the turn with a hand like QQ, is he really going to fold on the river when the front door flush. Find the probability that the hand is a Flush (5 nonconsecutive cards each of the same suit). Just earlier today I was playing on a 6 max table with only 4 players, all decently deep-stacked. So for example, if you have a flush draw on the turn, the percentage chance of completing your draw is 19. Difficult hands: K Q J T 9 — Straight flush or 4 to a royal flush: Keep the Straight FlushDraw 1 – There are pretty much only two options when a player draws one card, either they have a straight or flush draw or they are holding two pair. ----. For a flopped flush draw, as op said you generally have 9 outs so 36% right there. 9 cards of the same suit that we are chasing after. 6% or one in 5. To make a backdoor-flush draw, you first need to hit your suit on the turn, which is 10/47, and then hit it again on the river, which is 9/46. Target is Kismet System Library. Count your outs. Flush with the Saline Solution. Playing in the flow, we check to our opponent, who proceeds to make a continuation bet of half the pot. In this scenario, your initial call of 200 after the flop had a positive EV. To expect multiple callers after checked to you is silly. If you flop an OESFD, that means you have eight outs for the straight, and seven for the flush (two of the flush outs are straight outs). Because of this, these hands can be used very effectively as check-raise bluffs in certain spots. An 11-out hand has a 23. The cards can be from the same suit or a different one, depending on the specific casino game rules. Let’s say that you called a minimum raise of $4 from the button in a $1/2 NL ring game with Jd-10d. At the flop, high cards. 2. Against a pair, the Open Ended Straight Flush Draw is a favorite on the flop and has strong equity on the turn. On Flop 2, your straight draw is a bit stronger. 0 percent when seeing both cards. Flop Analysis. You guess that he likely has a diamond flush draw. On the flop, if we have a flush draw, we have 9 outs to hit it. 1%) An open-ended straight flush draw, you will complete it by the river: 10. I've recently realised how difficult it is to play the flush draw out of position. Water in a flush sample is less likely to contain lead than water in a first draw sample. 4. Simply Put, if you have a flush draw with your hand made if the next card hits, the chances of you winning are about 35% which is 2: 1 odds (meaning your going to hit once out of every 3 time you. In the 2019 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event, I found myself in an interesting spot with a flush draw in a multi-way pot. A deck has 52 cards. Every time you have a suited hand, there is an 11% chance that you will flop a flush draw. This is the definition of a. Here are the 7 flush draw tips that all poker beginners need to know. An obvious bluffing hand would be the ace-high club flush draw. The pot size is now 1000 and it costs 200 to call. 0. ago. Gathy. 4. 4% chance of coming in on the flop (3. This generally means to check and call if you are getting good enough odds. One interesting scenario to examine where taking a passive or aggressive line may both be correct is specifically having a pair and a flush draw. 2%) Starting Hand Example For example, even two different hands where you have a flush draw can be completely different. You’ll need to use some method of randomization for this approach. Lead the turn. If the syringe is not prefilled, draw up the correct amount. Say for example we check on a board like 8♠5♠2 ♥, and the button stabs. 05-06-2015 , 07:13 PM. 4. In regular Hold'em you’d have 9 outs to make your flush. Using friction, scrub the top, the tip (including the threaded edges), and. This hand has the added benefit of being able to draw to the nut flush, which further incentivizes to build the pot. 1%. 3) A backdoor flush draw on the flop, needing runner-runner of the suit on the turn and river, will only get there 4% of the time Flush by river (from flush draw on flop if see both turn and river) 1. Here are the 7 flush draw tips that all poker beginners need to know. Bingo! To hit your flush with 4 cards to it on the flop you are looking at around 36% equity. When you have a range that is polarized like this you often want to bet a bigger size. Here are some other examples: 25% chance = 75 / 25 = 3 (thus, 3-to-1 odds). A deck has 52 cards. Tip #2: When you have a gutshot straight draw and a backdoor flush draw, consider semi-bluffing. Playing Flush and Straight Draws. If he only has sets, the flush draw will win 25% of the time, meaning the decision is break-even. We’re going to raise our A♠3♠, A♠4♠ combos. This is because the lower FDs block less of villain’s missed FDs than the higher ones do. How to Determine. It comes in fourth place in the poker hand rankings - below a full house. #3. A combo draw could be something like a flush draw + 2 overcards to the flop, or a. How should this impact our bet sizes when we choose to bluff at either? 3 Hand examples from 1-2: In all cases, villain raises under the gun to 10, and we call from the button with 7h8h, blinds fold. 5% of the time and the 2nd nut flush draw 8. It is a good idea to round the percentages to a number that you can easily divide in to 100 to help keep the working out as simple as possible. Player A has AA, player B has 66 and calls 10BB raise preflop to try and hit a set. For example, you may make your flush, but if the board pairs an opponent may make a full house or even. More often you’ll be drawing to a flush when two cards of the same suit as the ones you’re holding come on the board. Let’s take a look at a solution for a Q74 two-tone flop: You can see a large change in the overall c-betting strategy, including with middling offsuit Ace-highs. My first thought would be "say the flush hits, what is the biggest bet I can get called I high percentage of the time if I lead with it or if my opponent checks to me". Let’s say that they check to you. However, on some boards there just aren’t enough of those strong draws to build an. Check the expiration date. However, there are occasions when it an okay, less marginal decision. I know how to do the calculation for a flush draw. The flop was played well by everyone involved. . The term nut flush draw means a flush draw to the nut flush. Hero calls on the button with $550 behind so he covers main villain on his direct right. Try these 7 flush draw tips next time in your poker games. 2. For a 4-draw: Add the cards as a straight flush. The BB checks yet again, you bet and he folds. So, to answer the original question, generally no, don't check back the nut flush draw. Amy a remporté la partie avec un flush. Learn about the types, odds and strategies of drawing hands, such as flush, straight, inside straight and backdoor. $100 preflop with even K little suited is very aggressive. Your strongest draws are your ace high and king high draws, along with draws where both of your cards are over-cards to the board ( Q♠ 8♠ on a flop of 7♠ 3♠ 2♥ for example). A flush draw is a hand that can improve to a flush on the flop, but it is usually an underdog against a made hand. For this reason, using your straight draw combos that contain a diamond and. $100 is more of a value bet. Once you factor in the one card straight flushes (one from our hand, four on the board) such as T9876, 98765, 87654. Playing suited junk. Ace-Five doesn’t have much showdown value, which makes it a good semi-bluffing hand when you have outs to improve to a straight or flush. Against this 75% pot bet we choose to defend 110/187 combinations = 58. Another fun equity: Set vs made Flush on the flop: -> 35% vs 65%; Set vs made Flush on the turn: -> 25% vs 75%; Even if the guy flops the flush, you still have 35% equity against him! In contrast with his. with the BB flat calling with the flush draw. Three fewer outs: The flush draw to beware of is where you have no extra outs, just the nine cards for your flush. The top two plays are (1) keep the three to a straight flush and (2) keep two to a royal flush. In that case, you can work out how many cards will give you the best hand and calculate the odds of any of those cards appearing. Example: 5♠ 4♠ is a marginal draw on K♥-T♠-9♠, but a monster hand on 6♠-4♥-3♠. In the flush draw example, there are 4 scenarios: Assuming we need a spade to complete the flush draw: P1: turn is a spade, river is a spade (flush!) P2: turn is a spade, river is not a spade (flush!) P3: turn is a not spade, river is a spade (flush!) P4: turn is a not spade, river is not a spade (no flush!)For this reason it can often be profitable to chase when your opponent might be chasing a similar draw. With a. So imagine I have a flush draw on the flop and the villain holds top pair. If he comes along, so be it. Use Non-Made Hands With Backdoor Flush Draws to Bluff. Play Your Flush Draws Aggressively to Win More Money. 3% of the time too on the flop. 5 - 1 = 4. If you're on a plain flush draw, you're looking at 9 outs, so you're looking at about a 36% chance of hitting your draw. 9:1) and then try to account for reverse implied odds as best as we can. 2%) Starting Hand ExampleFor example, even two different hands where you have a flush draw can be completely different. Hero had J ♥, 8 ♦ (straight, Queen high. The better play with two gaps is to hold 2-2, with an average return of 15. Flush Draw: This draw leads to having five cards all in the same suit. You will have 9 outs (18%) of turning a flush draw — which will often allow you to continue bluffing — and 4 outs to turn a straight (8. 6% !!! The probability that your set on the river will increase to a full house is about 22. Doing so will still make a straight instead of a flush, and vice-versa. Each of these hands has the potential to turn a flush draw, with some of them also having the potential to turn a straight draw. Here we will use the simple. 044 = 21. This is a perfect opportunity to semi-bluff. For instance, if you have and the flop is , you have a flush draw and any card of spades will give. plt. Here we have to put in 11. Add the two possibilities to get your answer: Straight Flush with 1 card: 1/3,710 + Straight Flush with 2 cards: 1/2,318 Any Straight Flush = 1/1,427 = 0. An 11-out hand has a 23. It is a completed hand, meaning that it is not easily. 84-1: 54%: Hitting a full house with three pairs : 3-1: 24%: Hitting a full house with two pairs: 5. Draw Outs; Double wraparound straight draw: 20 outs: Wraparound straight draw: 17 outs: Straight flush draw: 15 outs: Flush draw and over. October 20, 2020. Strategy shifts, and when flushes pay only 5 for 1, we hold. Open-Ended Straight Flush Draw | Number of Outs – 15. When poker players say combo draw, they are referring to a hand that is drawing to both a straight and flush. Although the word flush doesn’t immediately have you thinking that it consists of five cards all in the same suit, it’s still an easy hand to recognise. Even though flush draws are some of the strongest draws in the flop, these are the ones that are misplayed the most due to poor strategy. What is a flush draw? In poker games, a draw is when you’re one or two cards away from a ranking hand, so a flush draw is when you’re one card short of having a straight flush. Hole card combos that have three ways to flop a straight have an 0. Could someone point to a resource or do it by themselves where they explain the odds of hitting either a flush draw or a straight draw or both. Let’s take a common example to visualize it better. The original raiser folded, then the other player called. Here the odds are about 11 to 1 to improve. So 54% of the time you hit at least one of your outs. For slideless drawers with integral (rather than false) fronts, the techniques for achieving a flush fit are the same, except that the front should be cut to precise size before completing any drawer joinery. RULE #7 On the flop, if we raise a flush draw we want it to be one of two things: • A big draw (flush draw + straight draw and/or overcards) • A very weak draw that will have trouble on the turn after a flop call t 7 2 or XX 6 4 XX 6 4 Example: on t 9 5 j C-bet the lower nut flush draws (As2s) Check-call higher nut flush draws (AsKs) C-bet the open-ended straight draws and gutshots without a backdoor flush draw; Check-call the open-ended straight draws and gutshots with a backdoor flush draw; Check-raise the combo draws; This results in a well-balanced range that is hard to exploit. With a naked flush draw you have 9 outs from 45 unseen cards, or 5:1 so you need 4:1 implied pot odds. . This refers to a four card flush draw. Since in reality, Ad-Kd is somewhere between 25% and 48%, it is an incredibly easy call. Flush is one of the strongest poker hands in Texas Hold’em, and when you are lucky to hit your flush draw, you will win the pot most of the time. How flush affects the game. My thought process was that the size of the raise from the SB on the flop could've indicated an over pair. RULE #7 On the flop, if we raise a flush draw we want it to be one of two things: • A big draw (flush draw + straight draw and/or overcards) • A very weak draw that will have trouble on the turn after a flop call t 7 2 or XX 6 4 XX 6 4 Example: on t 9 5 jC-bet the lower nut flush draws (As2s) Check-call higher nut flush draws (AsKs) C-bet the open-ended straight draws and gutshots without a backdoor flush draw; Check-call the open-ended straight draws and gutshots with a backdoor flush draw; Check-raise the combo draws; This results in a well-balanced range that is hard to exploit. Double backdoor draws (straight and flush) perform well as check-raise bluffs. Just to be clear the probability of hitting the flush with two cards to come is . For a 5-draw: Subtract the straight-flush from either. A straight and flush draw is a good example of a hand with multiple ways to win the pot. You will flush your catheter in a sterile (very clean) way. If you round the odds that means for every 1 time you hit, you will miss 2. The very first step you should take when playing with flush draws is to separate them into weaker and stronger draws. 1% of the time strictly math speaking and accounting in all the hands. It can also work as a defensive strategy against a good player who is overly aggressive. For most straight draws you’ve to just take care to calculate the number of safe outs correctly. Use Non-Made Hands With Backdoor Flush Draws to Bluff. Going from flop to turn a flush draw will hit 19. This hand is much stronger if all sevens are live, as compared to two of them being out. Your hand contains four consecutive spades cards and you just need either the 5♠ or the T♠ to get your straight flush. 37bb pot + Villain 10BB = 47 BB Pot / Hero 10BB call = 4. When the flush return drops to 5 for 1, so does the value of suited 5-6-7. Felt like a total donk for going all in against the A-hi flush on the flop. For example, you hold 9♥ 10♥ and the flop is 2♥ 8♥ J♥. In high. 3 Tips for Playing Low King-X Suited When You Miss the Flop (As the Preflop Raiser) Tip #1 – When you flop a flush draw, always bet King-high flush draws are very strong bluffing hands that will often (~36% of the time) improve to become flushes by the river. For example, an Ace-high flush (the “nut” flush) would beat a King-high flush. Open-Ended Straight Flush Draw | Number of Outs – 15. A Flush Draw on the Turn or River: Hole Cards: Flop: 35%. Flush draws are responsible for a common and potentially very dangerous situation. I decided to fast-play this situation, and made a lead-out bet. For instance, with a royal flush, there are 4 ways to draw one, and 2,598,956 ways to draw something else, so the odds against drawing a royal flush are 2,598,956 : 4, or 649,739 : 1. Wait! JT would be an open-end straight draw, and J♣T♣ would be a monster flush+straight draw that we’re. You typically want to use stronger draws such as open-enders, flush draws, and straight draws when going for check-raise bluffs (because those hands perform better in big pots). A missed flush on the flop has a 39% chance of. First I would not necessarily put him on a flush draw. If all sevens and a jack are out, your hand is almost dead. Question: Why are we working out the odds for the next card only if there are two cards to come? Good question. That is assuming the board doesn't pair and that your opponent isn't drawing to a larger flush. 2% chance of each card (1 in 50) Roughly 18% chance (9*2) of hitting the flush on the turn, same for river. This range consists of strong value hands (two pair or better) and a mix of missed flush draws. The site features some of the foremost experts in online gambling today and many of our investigative reports and stories have been featured by other popular media outlets and. 6855%. Flush draw is an incomplete hand in poker made of four cards of the same suit. You are in a situation of getting beat by a single card. For instance, if you have and the flop is , you have a flush draw and any card of spades will give. here you have 9 outs for the flush + 3 aces and 3 kings to hit against his pair of. That is, an OESD is overrated and should played with caution; it's true that you have around 32-35% equity but this is only if you. The BB checks, you bet and he calls yet again. Flop. Since the T is a diamond this range will make a flush draw a bit less often than otherwise.